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Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q2 2021)

Construction in Brazil - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2025 (Q2 2021)

Summary

Brazil’s construction output is now forecast to grow by 4.1% in 2021 and 3.6% in 2022, following a decline of 7% last year. The government’s housing program, “Casa Verde e Amarela”, as well as planned concessions by the end of next year, are expected to support investment and growth in the industry in coming years. In April 2021, several construction companies were granted nearly BRL53.6 billion (US$10 billion) in concession projects, which include 22 airports, five ports, a railway line that will connect Brazil’s east coast with the western agricultural area and a series of road projects. Vinci, the French construction, and concessions company won seven of the 22 airport concessions, while Brazilian companies won the remainder. Brazil’s infrastructure minister, Tarcísio Gomes de Freitas, said in May that he expects a BRL267.8 billion (US$50 billion) investment boom in the development and modernization of the country’s roads, rail, airports, and ports by 2022, driven by concession projects.

Despite the country’s ongoing COVID-19 crisis, the latest data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) indicated that Brazil’s construction industry performed much better than previously anticipated in Q1 2021, with output (in seasonally adjusted terms) posting a quarter-on-quarter (Q-o-Q) rise of 2.1%, up from -0.2% in Q4 2020. This brought activity closer to its pre-pandemic (Q4 2019) levels and is set to provide a strong carryover into the Q2 2021 figure. However, there are concerns for this growth to be sustained over the course of the year of the due to the continued shortage and increase in the price of building materials, as well as uncertainty over the duration and behavior of the virus.

In addition to the shortage and rise in the price of construction materials, growing political and fiscal risks ahead of next year’s presidential elections are expected weigh on activity in 2022, and further undermine the government’s efforts to facilitate more foreign and private sector investment in the country. According to a survey carried out by the Federal Court of Accounts (TCU), Brazil currently has a stock of more than 14,000 paralyzed public works, largely due to delays in the approval of budgets and non-compliance with payment obligations by the public administration.

This report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into Brazil’s construction industry, including -
- Brazil’s construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in Brazil’s construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Brazil. It provides -
- Historical (2016-2020) and forecast (2021-2025) valuations of the construction industry in Brazil, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to Buy

- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
- Understand the latest industry and market trends.
- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 COVID-19 Status
3.5 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
- Outlook
- Latest news and developments
- Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
7.4 GlobalData Construction
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List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Brazil, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Brazil, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 4: Brazil, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Brazil, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 6: Brazil, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 8: Brazil, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 10: Brazil, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Brazil, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 12: Brazil, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Brazil, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2016-2025
Table 14: Brazil, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Brazil, Key Contractors
Table 16: Brazil, Key Consultants
Table 17: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)
Table 18: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Nominal, BRL Million)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions

List of Figures
Figure 1: Latin America, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020 and 2021
Figure 2: Brazil, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)
Figure 3: Brazil, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
Figure 4: Brazil, Risk Summary
Figure 5: Brazil, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 6: Brazil, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2016-2025
Figure 7: Brazil, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 8: Brazil, Construction Value-Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 9: Brazil, Number of People Employed in The Construction Industry, In Thousands, % Change YoY
Figure 10: Brazil, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 11: Brazil, Construction Activity Index
Figure 12: Brazil, Business Confidence Index (ICEI)
Figure 13: Brazil, Operational Capacity Utilization in the Construction Sector
Figure 14: Brazil, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 15: LATAM, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 16: Brazil, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 17: Brazil, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 18: Brazil, Tourism Revenue (in US$ Million), % Change YoY
Figure 19: Brazil, Services Volume and Revenue Indices, 2014=100, % Change YoY
Figure 20: Brazil, Number of People Employed in The Accommodation and Food Services Sector, In Thousands
Figure 21: Brazil, Total Retail Sales Volume and Revenue Indices (2014=100), % Change YoY
Figure 22: Brazil, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 23: Brazil, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 24: Brazil, Manufacturing Value-Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 25: Brazil, Capacity Utilization in the Manufacturing Sector
Figure 26: Brazil, Industrial, Manufacturing and Mining Production Indices, (2012=100) % Change YoY
Figure 27: Brazil, Total Exports (US$ Billion), % Change YoY
Figure 28: Brazil, Number of Vehicles Produced, Registered and Exported
Figure 29: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 30: Brazil, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 31: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 32: Brazil, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 33: Brazil, Power Generated (In GWh), % Change YoY
Figure 34: Brazil, Electricity consumed (in GWh), % Change YoY
Figure 35: Brazil, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 36: Brazil, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 37: Brazil, Value-Add of Public Administration, Health and Education, and Social Security (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 38: Brazil, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 39: Brazil, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
Figure 40: Brazil, Real Estate Value-Add (BRL Billion, Chained at 1995 Prices), % Change YoY
Figure 41: Brazil, Loans for Real Estate Acquisition and Construction (In BRL Billion), % Change YoY
Figure 42: Brazil, Residential Real Estate Sale Index, 2012=100, % Change YoY
Figure 43: Brazil, Residential Units Sold (In Thousands), % Change YoY
Figure 44: Brazil, Residential Units Launched (In Thousands), % Change YoY
Figure 45: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 46: Brazil, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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